Warwick Stakes Tips and Field Preview – 2017

Posted by Sports News First on 18/8/2017
Filled in: Racing

A host of champions have won the Warwick Stakes including Kingston Town, Super Impose, Lonhro and of course Winx in last year’s edition.

Let’s set history aside for this week and just accept there’s no form line that may cast any doubts over Winx’s victory.

Race Pace

Ecuador will likely lead at a moderate tempo.

Red Excitement and Harpers Choice may also position up in front of Winx who will likely have Foxplay for company.

Winner

Winx ($1.08)

Not much to say here that you wouldn’t already know.

This extraordinary mare is looking for 18 straight and she’s rated second in the world to US horse Arrogate.

Her price implies she is unbeatable and an easy victory is expected.

I think the fair over/under on margin might be four lengths, so look out for the special market.

With regard to the arguments of her vs Arrogate, I’ll leave it to a wiser man than I to comment

“Winx has to win by 10+ lengths to rate 135 and topple Arrogate as #1. If Hugh won by that far, he may get sacked” – Dominic Beirne

 

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Ecuador ($26.00)

Coming off a strong Autumn preparation where his 1400m efforts (two wins before two thirds at Group 1) were career peaks.

Likely to lead and a strong chance to fill the runners-up place.

Inference ($17.00)

Plenty of scope to develop into a Metropolitan Handicap and major Cups contender this Spring off the back of good performances in the Derbies last Autumn and Spring.

Very nice horse but will settle near the tail of the field and likely to be wound up later in the preparation.

Antonio Giuseppe ($18.00)

Another on the Metropolitan Handicap path and again with plenty of scope for to suggest he should be a major contender.

Likely to be a kick off run and again will be back in the field.

Could run on but another I’m happy to oppose until later in the prep.

 

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Bets

I expect Foxplay and Ecuador to be fighting out the minor places here.

Currently they are 3.50 and 5.50 respectively.

Dutching the pair offers a return of around 2.15 and that seems a reasonable play to me.

I expect the others solid in the market to get out, so suggest to bet early.

At current prices, stake 61 percent of your outlay on Foxplay and 39 percent on Ecuador and adjust accordingly if prices change.