Magic Millions Classic Field Preview, Tips and Odds – 2018

Posted by Sports News First on 12/1/2018
Filled in: Racing

We take a look at the Field for the $2 million Magic Millions 2YO Classic which is set to be run at Gold Coast on Saturday and we give our tips and bets for the race as well as a look at each of the key runners in the race. View Magic Millions 2YO Classic preview below.

Race
Magic Millions 2YO Classic, Race 8, 1200m

Racecourse
Gold Coast

 

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History (last 10)

*9 of 10 winners won their lead-up run.
*4 of 10 winners had their lead-up run in the BJ McLachlan, 3 of 10 were on the seven-day back-up from the two-year-old handicap race, 2 of 10 last started in the Wyong MM.
*Only 2 of 16 have come from further back then midfield at the 800m, 3 of 10 have lead all the way and 6 of 10 have been in the first four.
*0 of 10 winners were first up and 0 of 10 had only run once previously.
*We can deduce that despite the normal strong pace, on pace runners are still advantaged. We want to be on horses who won their last start.

Map

Map Comments

A good pace with the favoured runners all getting fair runs.
The best horse will win.

Leading Contenders

Jonker ($4.60)
Dominant Wyong Magic Millions winner at his lead-up run who rates very highly.
Has yet to run the times of Ef Troop and Sunlight but there is no reason to think he can’t take that next step.
The engagement of Hugh Bowman is extremely positive in such a big race.
While I suspect the other two favourites should get across, I think Jonker is guaranteed to get a good run which is a positive.

Ef Troop ($4.60)
Stunning win in the Phelan Ready Stakes last start in which his performance to the eye was backed up on the clock.
His best rating has him clear of the field, albeit only moderately in front of the other two favourites.

Again, he should get across and I’m not penalising him as much on the barrier draw as the market place seems likely to.

Sunlight ($4.20)
Has broken the clock at her last two starts at the Gold Coast.
The seven-day back up is of no concern.
Her current best rating is a little below the two colts however that is more in line with the opposition then her performances which have obviously been very fast.
She should get across reasonably well.

Nomothaj ($9.50)
Comes into the race first up at only his second career start.
Obviously a strong stable but I can’t have him anywhere near as short as the market place.
I must leave him out.

Bondi ($18.00)
Breeders Plate runner up in the Spring who was only fair in the Wyong Magic Millions.
The Snowden team are masters at peaking their two-year-olds for Grand Final day and as such I can see him running a much-improved race.
On his ratings, he would need to step significantly to win and doesn’t have the toe of the others drawn wide.
Still it isn’t impossible for him to run in the first four.

The Verdict

Incredibly difficult race to dissect.
The three favourites are all good horses and will likely progress again.
On exposed form, I’m leaning to Ef Troop and think we’re getting a good bonus for the wide draw.
I suspect that Jonker will be quite soft in the betting and will save on him at around $7.00, I suspect we may get by jump time.

1. Ef Troop

2. Jonker

3. Sunlight

Suggested Bet(s)

Back Ef Troop ($4.60) and save on Jonker ($4.60) if spending 10 units have 8 units on Ef Troop and 2 units on Jonker only if he reaches $7.00.

 

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