Did the Crows overachieve last season? Yes. Was it a fluke? Probably not when you look at their list, particularly their potent forward line.
Adelaide notched 16 wins in 2016 so the over 14.5 looks tasty this time around. In fact, punters have put five times as many dollars on the overs.
Adelaide Oval should continue to be a fortress which assures them of making the eight ($1.45) however the Crows are only the tenth best backed team to win the flag. They do look under the odds at $9.00.
As per usual, everything will revolve around their superstar Rory Sloane, who’s a $10 chance.
Odds taken from Sportsbet.com.au:
To make Top 8: $1.45
Wooden Spoon: $101
Over/Under wins: 14.5
Projected finish: 6th